Global markets today: Shares rise, dollar weakens as Fed rate cut bets grow

Global markets today climbed on Wednesday as investors reacted to dovish remarks from US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and strong quarterly results from major Wall Street banks. 

The US dollar weakened while European and Asian equities rebounded after a turbulent start to the week driven by escalating US China trade tensions.

Market optimism returned as traders bet that the Fed may cut interest rates before the end of the year, fueling a rally across global stocks.

European shares rose 0.7%, led by a 2.4% jump in French stocks after luxury conglomerate LVMH posted upbeat earnings, lifting the broader European luxury sector. 

In Asia, the MSCI index of Asia Pacific shares outside Japan gained 2.1%, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng up 2%.

Powell’s comments on Tuesday suggested that the central bank’s balance sheet reduction might soon end, a move that markets interpreted as a precursor to rate cuts.

“Powell struck a more dovish tone than expected,” analysts at Deutsche Bank wrote. “His comments on ending the shrinking of the Fed’s balance sheet in the coming months put December on the map in terms of a halt.”

Futures markets now price in about 48 basis points of rate cuts by December, underscoring investors’ belief that easing could arrive sooner rather than later.

Economists said Powell’s message was carefully calibrated to calm investors without locking the Fed into a specific path. The Fed is signaling that it’s prepared to act if growth slows further, but it’s also avoiding panic, said Rachel Kim, senior economist at Horizon Macro.

The dollar’s decline highlighted the shift in sentiment. The greenback slipped 0.3% against a basket of peers, while the yen and Australian dollar led gains after heavy losses last week.

On Wall Street, futures pointed higher, with Nasdaq futures up 0.5% and S&P 500 futures advancing 0.4%. Optimism also grew after the International Monetary Fund raised its global growth forecast for 2025, citing resilience in advanced economies.

Still, global markets today remain fragile. “Investors are clinging to Powell’s words, but risks like trade disputes and weak Chinese demand could easily reverse these gains,” said Tony Sycamore, a strategist at IG.

Earlier this week, equities tumbled as US President Donald Trump imposed 100% tariffs on Chinese goods following Beijing’s expanded export controls on rare earth minerals a critical input for defense and tech industries.

The renewed tensions have clouded hopes for a trade resolution. “It does suggest that a lasting truce is not going to be easy,” said Sycamore. In Europe, bond yields dropped as investors sought safety. 

French 10 year yields fell to 3.37%, the lowest since August, after Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu announced a delay in a controversial pension reform until after the 2027 election. 

“Anything that brings calm to French politics is a win for the market,” said Juan Perez, director of trading at Monex USA. Meanwhile, spot gold hit an all time high above $4,200 per ounce, buoyed by geopolitical uncertainty and lower rate expectations. 

Brent crude oil slipped 0.2% to $62.27 a barrel. In New York, traders described the market mood as “cautiously upbeat.” “After Powell’s remarks, there’s a sense that the Fed won’t let things deteriorate too much,” said Michael Harris, a portfolio manager at Sterling Capital.

In Paris, investors welcomed the government’s decision to suspend pension reforms. “The political noise has been exhausting,” said Claire Dubois, a small business owner. “This pause gives investors and consumers a bit of breathing room.”

Across Asia, buying interest returned after weeks of declines. “Investors see this as a short-term rebound, not a full recovery,” said Kenji Nakamura, chief strategist at Tokyo Securities. “Trade headlines could change the tone overnight.”

Analysts expect global markets today to remain sensitive to central bank guidance and trade developments. The Fed’s December policy meeting could determine whether the rally holds or fizzles.

“The December meeting is crucial,” said Kim of Horizon Macro. “If the Fed confirms even modest rate cuts, it could extend the risk rally and keep the dollar under pressure.”

Still, volatility remains a concern. Global investors are watching for any signs of renewed inflation, political instability in Europe, and worsening supply chain disruptions from China.

“Markets are walking a tightrope,” said Perez. “It’s a relief rally, but not yet a recovery.” For now, global markets today are breathing easier. 

Shares are rising, the dollar is easing, and investors are reassessing risk after Powell’s dovish tone. Yet beneath the surface, trade frictions, deflationary trends, and geopolitical risks continue to test confidence.

Whether this rebound becomes a sustained recovery will depend on how central banks and policymakers navigate the next few months of economic uncertainty.

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