Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq futures rise ahead of Fed decision, Big Tech earnings, and Trump-Xi meeting

US stock futures advanced Monday morning as investors positioned themselves for a pivotal week filled with market moving events including a Federal Reserve policy meeting, quarterly results from Big Tech giants, and an anticipated summit between former President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained roughly 0.5 percent, or about 250 points. Contracts linked to the S&P 500 rose 0.7 percent, while Nasdaq 100 futures outperformed with a 1 percent jump, signaling renewed optimism in the technology sector.

The upbeat start to the week followed a strong Friday close, when all three major indexes finished at record highs. The Dow crossed the 47,000 mark for the first time, climbing 472 points. 

The S&P 500 approached 6,800, and the Nasdaq Composite added more than 1 percent, marking a robust end to last week’s trading.

Market sentiment brightened over the weekend amid signs of progress in trade discussions between Washington and Beijing. 

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Sunday that negotiators had reached a “very substantial framework” for a broader US & China trade accord. 

Chinese officials also described the latest round of talks as achieving a “preliminary consensus,” a statement that eased fears of renewed economic friction between the world’s two largest economies.

At the same time, expectations are building that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its upcoming meeting after the release of cooler than expected inflation data. 

The Consumer Price Index report delayed by the recent government shutdown showed that price pressures remained moderate, strengthening the case for monetary easing.

“The market is moving into a critical stretch where monetary policy, global trade, and tech earnings collide,” said Hannah Porter, chief market analyst at BlueRiver Investments. 

“Traders are optimistic, but this week will test whether that optimism is justified.” Porter added that a rate cut by the Fed could provide short term momentum for equities but warned that “if the Fed strikes a cautious tone about inflation or future policy moves, some of these gains could quickly unwind.”

David Chen, senior economist at Summit Global Advisors, said the Trump-Xi meeting could prove equally decisive. “Investors have been here before high hopes followed by setbacks,” he said. 

Still, even the hint of cooperation between the two sides could buoy market confidence heading into year end. Meanwhile, the upcoming earnings reports from the so called “Magnificent Seven” Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta are expected to dominate the corporate calendar. 

Analysts anticipate that results will show solid revenue growth driven by artificial intelligence investments and cloud computing demand.

Futures trading activity mirrored growing optimism across global markets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures climbed 0.5 percent, S&P 500 contracts advanced 0.7 percent, and Nasdaq 100 futures surged 1 percent, led by gains in tech stocks.

In global markets, Asian equities closed mostly higher Monday, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index up 1.2 percent and the Shanghai Composite gaining 0.8 percent.

European indexes also opened stronger, echoing Wall Street’s positive tone. Economic indicators continue to point toward a steady cooling in US inflation. 

The latest CPI data revealed a smaller than expected 0.2 percent increase in core consumer prices, reinforcing investor bets that the Federal Reserve could move toward a rate cut before year end.

On the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, traders described the market tone as cautiously confident. One senior trader, Michael Adams, said, You can feel that people are leaning bullish, but nobody wants to get caught off side before the Fed and earnings. It’s optimism with a seat belt.

In San Francisco, tech employees were watching earnings season closely. “Our bonuses depend on how the big players perform,” said Anna Lopez, a software engineer. “If Apple or Meta beat expectations, the mood around here changes overnight.”

In Beijing, manufacturing consultant Li Wei said business leaders are hopeful about the Trump-Xi talks. “Even a partial trade agreement would help stabilize exports,” he said. “Companies here are ready to rebuild ties with American buyers, but they want clarity first.”

The coming days are expected to bring heightened volatility as investors digest the Fed’s policy statement, earnings results, and updates from the Trump-Xi meeting in Asia. 

Analysts predict that a combination of a rate cut, upbeat Big Tech profits, and trade progress could push equities to new records.

However, risks remain. A hawkish surprise from the Fed or disappointing earnings could reverse recent gains. “Markets are priced for perfection,” said Porter. “Any misstep in policy communication or company outlooks could trigger profit taking.”

Investors will also monitor upcoming economic data, including jobless claims and consumer spending figures, for further clues about the health of the US economy.

Futures tied to the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite reflect growing confidence that the Federal Reserve, corporate earnings, and international diplomacy could align to extend Wall Street’s rally. 

But with major announcements on the horizon, traders are preparing for a week that could set the tone for the remainder of the year one defined by opportunity, uncertainty, and high expectations.

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